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Details of Grant 

EPSRC Reference: GR/M91396/01
Title: COMMON SENSE UNCERTAIN REASONING
Principal Investigator: Paris, Professor J
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Department: Mathematics
Organisation: Victoria University of Manchester, The
Scheme: Standard Research (Pre-FEC)
Starts: 01 July 2000 Ends: 30 June 2003 Value (£): 148,204
EPSRC Research Topic Classifications:
Artificial Intelligence Fundamentals of Computing
EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications:
No relevance to Underpinning Sectors
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Summary on Grant Application Form
An understanding of how to reason intelligently with a knowledge base consisting of uncertain and incomplete information is an essential step towards the goal of 'intelligent computers'. The key problem here is how to sensibly fill in the missing information. One approach to this problem is to elucidate and subsequently employ so called 'principles of common sense uncertain reasoning'. For certain classes of probabilistic knowledge bases (closely related to those commonly being employed in practical knowledge based systems) we have already discovered a complete set of such principles, complete in the sense that their observance determines all missing probabilities uniquely. The primary objective of this research is to investigate extending these ideas and results to a wider class of (practically significant) knowledge bases. A secondary, closely related, objective is to provide a mathematical explanation of the origins of common sense, both because of its intrinsic interest, and because of it would, in turn, reflect light on the general problem underlying the primary objective.
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