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EPSRC Reference: GR/L16385/01
Title: A DYNAMICAL SYSTEM APPROACH TO MULTI-INPUT-OUTPUT NONLINEAR STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS
Principal Investigator: Tong, Professor H
Other Investigators:
Yao, Professor Q
Researcher Co-Investigators:
Project Partners:
Department: Sch of Maths Statistics & Actuarial Sci
Organisation: University of Kent
Scheme: Standard Research (Pre-FEC)
Starts: 01 January 1997 Ends: 31 December 1998 Value (£): 72,725
EPSRC Research Topic Classifications:
Statistics & Appl. Probability
EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications:
Related Grants:
Panel History:  
Summary on Grant Application Form
In recent years, with increasing computer power has come an increasing demand for tools that can identify the underlying structure and forecast the future up to a new standard of accuracy. This has led to a rapid development in the dynamical system approach to nonlinear time series analysis in the last few years. In most practical cases, a time series is also influenced by some exogenous time series of covariates. Therefore, it is theoretically pertinent and practically necessary to establish statistical methods for modelling and forecasting multi-input-output nonlinear stochastic systems. In order to make out methods ready to use, it is also important to pinpoint effective ways to bypass the curse-of-dimensionality in multivariate fitting if possible. We aim to gain a much fuller appreciation of various methods of multivariate estimation in the time series context through the three case studies which, in the meanwhile, will also show benefits from genuine application of newly developed techniques in nonlinear time series analysis.
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Organisation Website: http://www.kent.ac.uk