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Details of Grant 

EPSRC Reference: EP/N034899/1
Title: Disaster management and resilience in electric power systems
Principal Investigator: Mancarella, Professor P
Other Investigators:
Shaw, Professor D de la Llera, Professor J Ordonez, Dr F
Panteli, Dr M Milanovic, Professor JV Rudnick, Professor H
Cienfuegos, Dr R Moreno, Dr R
Researcher Co-Investigators:
Project Partners:
ACERA AGC Santiago/Chile Arup Group Ltd
CDEC SIC CDEC SING Chilean Government
CIGIDEN Colbún Consejo Minero
Empresa Nacional del Petróleo - ENAP Empresas Electricas AG Energy Centre
Inst Electrical & Electronics Eng - IEEE ISO Internatl Org for Standardisation National Energy Commission (CNE)
Price Waterhouse Coopers LLP Solar Energy Research Centre SERC Chile Superintendencia de Electricidad y Combu
Technical University of Malaysia (UTeM) Valhalla Energy
Department: Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Organisation: University of Manchester, The
Scheme: Newton Fund
Starts: 01 February 2016 Ends: 30 April 2018 Value (£): 241,076
EPSRC Research Topic Classifications:
Development Geography Power Sys Man, Prot & Control
Sustainable Energy Networks
EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications:
Energy
Related Grants:
Panel History:  
Summary on Grant Application Form
Electricity infrastructure is key to sustain human and economic well-being since it supplies energy to industrial, commercial and financial sectors, critical services (health, traffic control, water supply), communication networks, and hence almost all activities in modern societies. Consequently, the effects of long electricity blackouts have demonstrated impacts on economic activities and social stability and security. A framework for disaster management and resilience of the power sector is needed, beyond the occurrence of "average" outages contemplated in current security standards. This framework should consider network management under the occurrence of natural hazards such as earthquakes and tsunamis that may cause major blackouts, and assess proper measures to manage the associated disasters. Developing and implementing such a framework will be crucial to increase the opportunities for Chile and other countries, especially developing and low-income ones located around the Pacific Ring of Fire which are particularly exposed to the risk of earthquakes and tsunamis.

In this context, this project will undertake holistic risk analyses associated with natural hazards on electricity networks along with identification of mitigation and adaptation measures that can allow us to manage the arising disasters. This holistic perspective of disaster management and resilience will be supported by development of mathematical models to firstly assess risks related to high impact low probability events, such as earthquakes and tsunamis, on the electric power systems. These models will then serve to identify an optimal portfolio of preventive and corrective measures that can support mitigation of impacts and compare different adaptation strategies. In particular, besides classical infrastructure reinforcement, we will assess how operational measures for disaster management, for instance though distributed energy systems, e.g., based on communities and microgrids, can provide system resilience.

Building on this last point, resilience can in fact also be built through citizens and communities and by how they prepare for, and respond to, power outages. Such preparedness could for instance be led by the electricity companies and targeted at the individual and community levels by sharing accountability for response across the official respondents, local officials, community groups, individual citizens, and the electricity companies. The aim is for households to have response strategies that are complemented by resilience measures prepared for (and by) the community. Such shared responsibility is becoming the response culture in the UK (with the very recent recognition of spontaneous volunteers as a source of untrained, unknown support which converges at the time of an incident). In developing countries, where the capacity of official respondents may be insufficient given the scale of the disaster, the reliance on community preparedness and spontaneous emergence of willing helpers is more acute to lessen the effects of an incident and quicken the return to normality. Thus, in addition to more technical features, the framework developed here will explicitly include community resilience as a way to lessen the impact of outages and manage disasters.

By analysing several case studies in Chile based on both data from past experiences and simulations, we will propose a general framework for disaster management and network and community resilience which can be applicable to other developing and low-income countries. We will use the research findings to develop networks standards following disasters along with a standard on community resilience to power outages. These standards will include socio-economic and engineering indicators that can support monitoring of network resilience and readiness to withstand natural, catastrophic events as well as quantifying impacts of such events after they occur, enhancing quality of post-morterm analysis.
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Organisation Website: http://www.man.ac.uk