| EPSRC Reference: |
EP/L001950/1 |
| Title: |
Epidemic inverse problems: geometry and sampling |
| Principal Investigator: |
Hollingsworth, Professor D |
| Other Investigators: |
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| Researcher Co-Investigators: |
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| Project Partners: |
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| Department: |
Mathematics |
| Organisation: |
University of Warwick |
| Scheme: |
Standard Research |
| Starts: |
01 July 2013 |
Ends: |
30 June 2015 |
Value (£): |
233,340
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| EPSRC Research Topic Classifications: |
| Algebra & Geometry |
Complexity Science |
| Statistics & Appl. Probability |
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| EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications: |
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| Related Grants: |
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| Panel History: |
| Panel Date | Panel Name | Outcome |
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22 May 2013
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Developing Leaders Meeting - CAF
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Announced
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Summary on Grant Application Form |
Imagine an epidemic is doubling in size every six days soon after the first
cases are announced. If you know cases are all infectious for six days then a
back-of-the envelope calculation tells you that each case infects on average a
further three before recovering and vaccine coverage of 67% or greater is
needed to contain the outbreak. But if you don't know anything about how long
people with the disease are contagious for, then this simple calculation cannot
be made without additional information.
This project aims to quantify that uncertainty, so that when a measurement of
the duration of infectiousness is made then we will be able to assess how
infectious the disease associated with a particular outbreak is likely to be.
Also, when you have a cold then it is is convenient to describe your disease
state 'categorically', which is to say that you will say "I'm coming down with
a cold", "I'm in the middle of a cold", or "I'm just getting better from a
cold", rather than "my viral titre is probably 3 on a logarithmic scale". It
is also often convenient for scientific epidemiologists to take a categorical
approach to disease state, and this project proposes to find a reliable method
for deciding what the relevant categories should be.
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Key Findings |
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This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk
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Potential use in non-academic contexts |
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This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk
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Impacts |
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| Description |
This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk |
| Summary |
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| Date Materialised |
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Sectors submitted by the Researcher |
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This information can now be found on Gateway to Research (GtR) http://gtr.rcuk.ac.uk
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| Project URL: |
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| Further Information: |
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| Organisation Website: |
http://www.warwick.ac.uk |