Details of Grant 

EPSRC Reference:	EP/K033344/1
Title:	Mining the Network Behaviour of Bots
Principal Investigator:	Cavallaro, Professor L
Other Investigators:	Shanahan, Professor HP Vovk, Professor V Gammerman, Professor A Luo, Professor Z
Researcher Co-Investigators:
Project Partners:
Department:	Information Security
Organisation:	Royal Holloway, Univ of London
Scheme:	Standard Research
Starts:	16 June 2013	Ends:	17 June 2017	Value (£):	680,623
EPSRC Research Topic Classifications:	Artificial Intelligence Networks & Distributed Systems Statistics & Appl. Probability
EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications:	Information Technologies
Related Grants:
Panel History:	Panel Date Panel Name Outcome 20 Feb 2013 EPSRC CEReS Feb 2013 Announced
Summary on Grant Application Form
The botnets phenomenon has quickly become a major security concern for all the Internet users. In fact, not only has it rapidly gained popularity among the mass media, but it has also received the attention of the research community interested in understanding, analyzing, and detecting bot-infected machines. Once infected with a bot, the victim host joins a botnet, a network of compromised machines that are under the control of a malicious entity. Botnets are the primary means for cyber-criminals to carry out criminal tasks, such as sending spam mail, launching denial-of-service attacks, or stealing personal data such as mail accounts or bank credentials. Clustering and correlating network events represent the state-of-the-art when it comes to detecting and understanding the botnets phenomenon from a network perspective. While effective, such approaches rest on weak foundations being vulnerable to easy-to-perform (time and network) obfuscation attacks. The goal of this project is to build on the promising results of our previous work to explore novel machine-learning techniques to make the state-of-the-art more accurate and robust against evasions and advanced malware. Exploring the possibilities of advanced malware (and thus bots) to enable the development of novel mathematical techniques to address such threats is not a mere academic exercise. On the contrary, it is of paramount importance to build robust and hard-to-elude mitigation approaches; something we currently lack, as acknowledged by the research community at large. On the cyber security side, we will develop techniques to analyze the network traffic generated by a bot sample. Our analysis will focus on inferring the interesting part of a bot's network behaviour to automatically generate models that faithfully describe it. Our analysis aims at being independent from the underlying botnet infrastructure, payload-agnostic, and able to pinpoint legitimate-resembling malicious activities. The network flows of a monitored bot will be initially filtered to remove well-defined attack patterns. The remaining flows will be clustered using a number of network features and suitable similarity functions. Clusters whose size exceeds a given threshold will then be analyzed for periodicity: bots tend to engage in similar network activities that have interflow intervals that either are sampled independently from a potentially unknown probability distribution, or belong to a small number of well-defined clusters. Once clusters exhibiting interesting periodicity patterns are identified, they can be used, along with their network features, for detecting (or understanding the behaviour of) bots in a mixed population containing both compromised and clean hosts. On the machine learning side, we propose to explore the use of conformal prediction developed by our team to make such cluster-based analysis more accurate and robust against arbitrary obfuscation-based evasion attacks. A powerful clustering method is based on nonparametric probability density estimation. A recent work proposes a computationally efficient method of nonparametric density estimation based on conformal prediction and inherits its properties of validity. We plan to explore the use of this method for the purpose of robust clustering. A theoretical challenge is to spell out and study the properties of robustness for this clustering method that are inherited from the validity of the study mentioned above. In addition, the property of validity of conformal predictors is usually established under the randomness assumption; we will explore how this assumption can be relaxed. In addition, the property of validity can be used to control the number of "alarms" (predicting that a host is compromised) raised by a bot detection algorithm. This is valuable in situations where alarms have to be investigated by human experts but the available manpower is limited.
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