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Details of Grant 

EPSRC Reference: EP/K013513/1
Title: Flood MEMORY: Multi-Event Modelling Of Risk & recoverY
Principal Investigator: Kilsby, Professor C
Other Investigators:
Beck, Professor C Pokrajac, Professor D Haynes, Dr H
Haigh, Dr I Lamond, Professor J Brown, Dr JM
Briganti, Dr R Karunarathna, Professor H Liang, Professor Q
White, Professor S Holman, Professor I
Researcher Co-Investigators:
Project Partners:
Department: Civil Engineering and Geosciences
Organisation: Newcastle University
Scheme: IDEAS Factory Sandpits
Starts: 15 January 2013 Ends: 14 May 2016 Value (£): 1,765,290
EPSRC Research Topic Classifications:
Coastal & Waterway Engineering
EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications:
Water
Related Grants:
Panel History:  
Summary on Grant Application Form
The project will look at the most critical flood scenarios caused by sequences or clusters of extreme weather events striking vulnerable systems of flood defences, urban areas, communities and businesses. The project will analyse and simulate situations where a second flood may strike before coastal or river defences have been reinstated after damage, or householders and small businesses are in a vulnerable condition recovering from the first flood. By examining such events and identifying the worst case scenarios, we hope our findings will lead to enhanced flood resilience and better allocation of resources for protection and recovery. Ultimately the processes developed could be used worldwide.

Changes in the frequency and severity of flooding are under close scrutiny due to increased storminess in projections of future climate. The project will look at observed records of storms and try to understand how clustering may obscure or even exacerbate any climate induced changes. This is crucial for designing flood defence schemes now, which will operate for decades into the future, as current methods of estimating risk in a stationary climate do not fully account for the observed clustering of flood events and possible changes in variability.

Other aspects of the project will look at how coasts (beaches, dunes and engineered defences) and rivers behave during storms. Of particular interest is the effect of previous storms and floods moving sediment (i.e. shingle, sand and river bed material) so that the beach or river is in a different (perhaps weaker) condition when a second flood event arrives. The movement of sediment is difficult to predict as mostly happens during storms, so our knowledge of these processes is currently lacking.

Key Findings
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Further Information:  
Organisation Website: http://www.ncl.ac.uk